Virgin Galactic (SPCE) Calls Return 650%!

Virgin Galactic (SPCE, $17.21 down $1.91)

SPCE April 15 calls (SPCE200417C00015000, $4.80, down $0.70)

Entry Price: $0.50 (1/7/2019)

Exit Target: $7.50 (closed half at $2.50 on 1/15/2020)

Return: 650%

Stop Target: $5 (Stop Limit)

Action: The Stop Limit at $5 tripped on Friday’s continued weakness in the stock.


Sector Outlook: Industrials Select Sector Spider (XLI)

The Industrials Select Sector Spider (XLI) was higher for the first time in 3 sessions despite kissing an intraday low of $81.18. Current and upper support at $81-$80.50 was challenged but held. A close below the latter and the 50-day moving average would be an ongoing bearish development with additional risk towards $79.50-$79 and the December low at $79.26.

Near-term and lowered resistance is at $82-$82.50. Continued closes above the latter and the recent all-time high of $82.66 would be a renewed bullish signal for a run towards $83.50-$84.

RSI has leveled out with support at 50. A move below this level would signal additional weakness towards 45-40 with the latter representing the early December bottom. Resistance is at 55-60. A move above the latter would signal additional strength towards 65-70.


iShares Russell 1000 (IWF) Update for 1/2/2020

The iShares Russell 1000 (IWF) snapped a 2-session losing streak with the late day peak reaching $176.06. Near-term and lower resistance at $176-$176.50 was cleared but held. A close above the latter would be a bullish signal for a retest towards $177.50-$178 and fresh record highs.

Current support is at $175-$174.50. A close below the $174 level would signal a near-term top with additional risk towards $173-$172.50.

RSI is trying to level out after holding support at 70. A close below this level would signal additional weakness towards 65-60. Resistance is at 75-80 with the latter representing overbought conditions from last week and January 2018.


Bullish Action in the VIX

The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX) fell for the first time in 3 sessions despite tagging a midday high of 15.39. Upper resistance at 14.50-15 and the 200-day moving average was breached but held for the 2nd-straight session.

The fade to 13.75 afterwards and close below prior and upper support at 14-13.50 was a healthy signal volatility is easing and may have peaked. A close back below the 13 level and the 50-day moving average before week’s end would be a more bullish development and signal a possible return to all-time highs for the market.

sc.png Market Update for 1/2/2020

Bulls Close 2019 on a High Note

8:00am (EST)

The market traded on both sides of the ledger before finishing higher to wrap up the last trading day for 2019. News that President Trump will be signing the phase one trade deal with China on January 15th helped sentiment along with better-than-expected housing numbers.

The small-caps showed the most intraday strength as the dollar fell to a 6-month low with volatility easing going into the end of the week and to start 2020. The official Santa Claus rally that typically happens over the last 5 trading days of the year (and the first 2 of the new year) remains in play following Tuesday’s gains.

The Nasdaq was up for the 1st time in 3 sessions after adding 0.3% with the late session peak reaching 8,975. Lower resistance at 8,950-9,000 was cleared and held with a close above the latter signaling momentum towards 9,050-9,100 and fresh all-time highs.

The Russell 2000 snapped a 3-session slide after gaining 0.3% while trading to an afternoon high of 1,673. Prior and lower resistance at 1,670-1,685 was cleared and held with a close above the latter and the 52-week peak of 1,681 getting the 1,700 level back in focus.

The S&P 500 rebounded after advancing 0.3% and tapping an intraday high of 3,231. Near-term and lower resistance at 3,225-3,250 was cleared and held with a close above the latter and the all-time high of 3,247 getting 3,275-3,300 in focus.

The Dow was also up 0.3% after testing a second half high of 28,547. Current and lower resistance at 28,500-28,750 was cleared and held with a close above the latter and the lifetime high of 28,701 signaling a run towards the 29,000 level.

For 2019, the Nasdaq jumped 35% and the Russell 2000 soared 24%. The S&P 500 surged 28% and the Dow rallied 23%.

Materials and Real Estate were sector standouts after rising 0.7%. Industrials were the only sector laggard after slipping 0.1%. For 2019, all 11 of the S&P 500 sectors closed the year higher for the first time since 2010.