Facebook Clears 50-Day MA

Facebook (FB, $184.19, up $4.16)

Shares soared to a high of $185.49 with prior and lower resistance at $184-$184.50 and the 50-day moving average getting cleared and holding. Rising support is at $182-$181.50. A more bullish signal would be continued closes above the $187.50 level and could represent a call buying opportunity.

 

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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Down 3-Straight

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) extended its losing streak to 3-straight sessions following the pullback to $139.71. Prior and upper support from mid-September at $140-$139.50 was breached but held. A close below the latter reopens downside risk towards the $138-$136 area.

Lowered resistance is at $141.50-$142 with additional hurdles at $142.50-$143 and the 50-day moving average

RSI is in a downtrend with support at 40. A close below this level would signal additional weakness towards 35-30 and the mid-September low. Resistance is at 45-50.

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Sector Update from 10-11-19

Materials and Industrial were the strongest sectors after jumping 1.9% while Technology and Energy rose 1.4%. Utilities and Real Estate were the weakest sectors after giving back 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.

For the week, the best performing sectors were Materials (1.9%), Industrials (1.6%), Technology (1.3%) and Consumer Discretionary (1.2%). Utilities (-1.3%) and Consumer Staples (-0.9%) were the weakest.

Market Update 10-14-19/ Join Now!

Bulls Snap 3-Week Losing Streak

8:00am (EST)

The market was in rally mode from the start of Friday’s open and maintained momentum throughout the session in hopes of a good outcome in the trade talks between U.S. and Chinese representatives. Tweets from President Trump confirmed that the U.S. had reached what is being called a phase 1 deal with China that will be put into writing and signed.

6 Month – $462

The deal covers intellectual property, financial services and $40-$50 billion in agricultural goods purchase. Additionally, Treasury Steve Mnuchin confirmed that the tariff hike that was threatened for next week will not go forward now that a deal has been reached. The gains help snapped a 3-week losing streak for the overall market with the major indexes now in positive territory for the month, aside from the small-caps.

The Russell 2000 rallied 1.8% following the intraday push to 1,525 and close back above the 1,500 level. Prior and lower resistance at 1,515-1,530 and the 50-day moving average was tripped but held with a close above the latter and the 200-day moving average being an ongoing bullish signal.

The Nasdaq zoomed 1.3% after testing an afternoon high of 8,115 and easily closing back above its 50-day moving average. Prior and lower resistance at 8,100-8,150 was breached but held with a move above the latter getting 8,200-8,250 in play. The September highs tapped 8,243 and 8,237 and were a week apart.

The Dow surged 1.2% after trading to a 2nd half high of 27,013. Current and lower resistance at 26,800-27,000 was cleared and held with a close above the latter signaling additional strength towards 27,250-27,500 and the July all-time peak at 27,398.

The S&P 500 soared 1.1% following the intraday day push to 2,993. Lower resistance from early September at 2,975-3,000 was cleared but held with a close above the latter getting 3,025-3,050 and fresh all-time highs back in focus.

For the week, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq added 0.9% while the Dow rose 0.6%. The Russell 2000 gained 0.7% and needs to clear 1,523 to turn green for the month.

Major Earnings for 8-15-19

Before the open: Alibaba (BABA), Briggs & Stratton (BGG), Canadian Solar (CSIQ), Eagle Point Credit (ECC), iHeartMedia (IHRT), JC Penney (JCP), Pointer Telocation (PNTR), Tapestry (TPR), Walmart (WMT)

After the close: Applied Materials (AMAT), Globant (GLOB), Nvidia (NVDA), PagSeguro Digital (PAGS), Sundance Energy Australia (SNDE), Voxeljet (VJET), ZTO Express (ZTO)

Monthly Lows in Focus on Yield Inversion Risk/ Profit Alert (T)

Monthly Lows in Focus on Yield Inversion Risk/ Profit Alert (T)

8:00am (EST)

The market reversed course on Wednesday after giving back the prior session gains as another sharp drop in yields sent investors back to the sidelines. Specifically, the 2-year and 10-year spread inverted for the first time since 2007 with inversions traditionally seen as indicators of impending recessions.

Although it can be debated if the U.S. is indeed headed for a near-term recession, or not, it is clear fears of a global slowdown are real. The headline news had a negative impact on the major indexes, either way, with prior support levels back in play. It is important to note, the market experienced this scenario a few months ago and bounced back after the 10-year yield fell below the 3-month yield.

The Russell 2000 dropped 2.9% after tapping a late day low of 1,465. Prior and upper support at 1,460-1,450 held with the late May and early June lows at 1,461 and 1,460, respectively.

The Nasdaq plummeted 3% following the midday backtest to 7,762 and close back below the 7,800 level. Current and upper support at 7,750-7,700 held with the monthly low at 7,662.

The S&P 500 sank 2.9% after trading to an intraday low of 2,841. The close below the 2,850 level reopens risk towards upper support at 2,825-2,800 and the 200-day moving average with last week’s low at 2,822.

The Dow stumbled 3.1% following the backtest to 25,521 while closing back below the 26,000 level. Upper support at 25,600-25,400 and the 200-day moving average was breached and failed to hold with the August low at 25,440.

There was no sector strength. Energy led sector laggards after sinking 3.9% while Financials and Communication Services skidded 3.7% and 3.6%, respectively.