Market Update for 2/5

Bulls Extend Winning Streak to 3-Straight

5:00pm (EST)

The market was higher for the 3rd-straight session on Wednesday as private sector employment soared with additional better-than-expected economic news keeping the bullish sentiment intact. The reported number of coronavirus cases of the deadly disease continues to rise in China but didn’t dampen enthusiasm as the outbreak is still mainly contained to that country.

More importantly, there are reports of some success in treating the virus using existing drugs along with U.K. scientists reporting a significant breakthrough on a vaccine. The major indexes look poised for higher highs but volatility remains elevated and the pullback in Tech off the high was a slight concern going forward.

The Dow soared 1.7% with the late session high tapping 29,308. Prior and lower resistance at 29,000-29,200 was cleared and held with a move above the all-time high at 27,373 signaling additional strength towards 29,400-29,600.

The Russell 2000 rose 1.5% after testing a late day high of 1,682. Near-term and lower resistance at 1,670-1,685 was cleared and held with a close above the latter getting the 1,700 level back in focus.

The S&P 500 surged 1.1% following the afternoon run to 3,337 while missing a new all-time high by a quarter-point. Current resistance at 3,300-3,325 was cleared and held with upside potential towards 3,350-3,375 on continued closes above the 3,335 level.

The Nasdaq was up 0.4% after trading to a 2nd-straight all-time high of 9,574. Fresh and lower resistance at 9,550-9,600 was cleared but held with a move above the latter signaling momentum towards 9,650-9,700.

Energy led sector strength after zooming 3.8% while Healthcare and Financials rallied 2%. Real Estate was the only sector laggard after slipping 0.1%.

Virgin Galactic (SPCE) Calls Return 650%!

Virgin Galactic (SPCE, $17.21 down $1.91)

SPCE April 15 calls (SPCE200417C00015000, $4.80, down $0.70)

Entry Price: $0.50 (1/7/2019)

Exit Target: $7.50 (closed half at $2.50 on 1/15/2020)

Return: 650%

Stop Target: $5 (Stop Limit)

Action: The Stop Limit at $5 tripped on Friday’s continued weakness in the stock.

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iShares Russell 1000 (IWF) Update for 1/2/2020

The iShares Russell 1000 (IWF) snapped a 2-session losing streak with the late day peak reaching $176.06. Near-term and lower resistance at $176-$176.50 was cleared but held. A close above the latter would be a bullish signal for a retest towards $177.50-$178 and fresh record highs.

Current support is at $175-$174.50. A close below the $174 level would signal a near-term top with additional risk towards $173-$172.50.

RSI is trying to level out after holding support at 70. A close below this level would signal additional weakness towards 65-60. Resistance is at 75-80 with the latter representing overbought conditions from last week and January 2018.

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Bullish Action in the VIX

The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX) fell for the first time in 3 sessions despite tagging a midday high of 15.39. Upper resistance at 14.50-15 and the 200-day moving average was breached but held for the 2nd-straight session.

The fade to 13.75 afterwards and close below prior and upper support at 14-13.50 was a healthy signal volatility is easing and may have peaked. A close back below the 13 level and the 50-day moving average before week’s end would be a more bullish development and signal a possible return to all-time highs for the market.

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S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX) Settles at Bearish Reading

The S&P 500 Volatility Index ($VIX) tested a low of 12.55 with last Friday and key support at 12.50 holding on the market’s opening gains. The surge to 15.27 afterwards breached lower resistance at 15-15.50 and the 200-day moving average but levels that held into the closing bell. There is upside risk towards 17-17.50 on a move above the 15.50 level.

Fresh and rising support is now at 14.50-14 and the 50-day moving average. Continued closes back below 13.50 are now needed to reestablish a possible  bullish signal again for the market.

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TWTR Calls Up 81%

Twitter (TWTR, $30.91, down $0.26)

TWTR January 30 calls (TWTR200117C00030000, $1.90, down $0.20)

Entry Price: $1.05 (11/15/2019)

Exit Target: $2.10

Return: 81%

Stop Target: $1.80 (Stop Limit)

Action: Upper support at $30.75-$30.50 held on Friday’s fade to $30.78. Resistance is at $31-$31.25.

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